Analysis for CNC
- π Growth β 25/30
- π° Profitability β 16/20
- π¦ Financial Health β 16/20
- π΅ Valuation β 14/20
- β οΈ Risk β 7/10
Summary:
π Growth & Financial Trajectory
Eight quarters show revenue growth from about $40.8B in 2024 Q2 to about $53.6B in 2026 Q2, a rise of roughly $12.8B (~31%). The ramp is steady, with a notable expansion in late 2024 and continued momentum into 2025β2026. Net income stays positive in most periods, typically around $1.3Bβ$1.5B per quarter, though a few periods show softer results, reflecting mix, costs, and seasonal factors.
π° Margins & Cash Flow
Gross profit has trended in the low-to-mid billions on $40β$54B revenues, implying margins roughly in the 8β12% range across the cycle, with occasional compression when benefits costs surge. Operating leverage appears positive in multiple quarters, as operating income frequently reaches around $1.5Bβ$1.7B. Cash flow remains robust: Net cash flow from operating activities generally in the $1.5Bβ$4.0B band; investing activities are typically outflows; financing flows vary. Free cash flow is positive in most periods, with quarter-to-quarter variability.
π‘οΈ Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Assets sit near $80β87B with current assets around $40β46B and current liabilities roughly $34β40B, yielding a modest but steady liquidity cushion. Equity remains in the $21β28B range, and longβterm debt runs around $17β20B, supporting ongoing operations and capital needs.
β οΈ Key Drivers & Risks
- Drivers: Medicaid/Managedβcare demand; scale efficiencies and vendor relationships.
- Risks: Regulatory policy shifts and reimbursement risk; earnings volatility from benefits costs and regulatory changes.