Stocks analysis

ADM vs AJG Stock Comparison

Scores Breakdown

Metric ADM AJG
πŸ“ˆ Growth 26/30 14/30
πŸ’° Profitability 7/20 14/20
🏦 Financial Health 16/20 16/20
πŸ’΅ Valuation 12/20 8/20
⚠️ Risk (lower is better) 6/10 5/10
Overall Score 65/100 57/100

Side-by-Side Summaries

ADM Analysis AJG Analysis

πŸ“ˆ Growth & Financial Trajectory

Over 8 quarters, ADM's Revenues moved in a narrow band around 19.9–20.5B, ending near 20.49B in Q1 2026 vs 19.94B at the startβ€”a modest +2.9% gain. Net income progressed from about $18M in 2024 Q2 to $303M in 2026 Q1, with a peak of $567M in 2024 Q4, signaling improving profitability despite quarterly volatility.

πŸ’° Margins & Cash Flow

Gross margin remained steady at about 6.3%–6.8% across the period; operating margin hovered around 2%–3%. Operating cash flow was positive in most quarters (e.g., +4.30B in 2025 Q3, +1.81B in 2025 Q2, +0.15B in 2026 Q1), while investing cash flow was consistently negative, and financing activity varied, reflecting ongoing capital allocation.

πŸ›‘οΈ Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Assets run around $52–53B with current assets about $26.6–29B and current liabilities near $18.0–19.6B, giving a healthy current ratio of roughly 1.3–1.5. Debt metrics show long-term debt around $7.6–8.3B and total liabilities around $29–33B, with equity in the low- to mid-$22B range, indicating solid balance-sheet resilience.

⚠️ Key Drivers & Risks

  • Drivers: Commodity cycle for grains/oilseeds; global demand for ADM's processing and ingredients
  • Risks: Commodity price volatility and cyclicality; macroeconomic sensitivity and valuation risk

πŸ“ˆ Growth & Financial Trajectory

From 2024 Q2 to 2026 Q1 AJG exhibits a roller-coaster 8-quarter path. Revenue rose to a peak of $4.758B in 2026 Q1 but ended the window at $2.8068B in 2024 Q2, a decline of about 41% over the span. Net income followed a similar volatile pattern, moving from $823M in 2026 Q1 to $285.4M in 2024 Q2, with a notable trough in 2025 Q4 ($210.5M). The sequence includes a mid-window high around 2025 Q1 ($704.4M) before subsiding. Overall, the backdrop shows upside momentum into early 2026 after mid-2024 troughs, but the end-state remains materially below the peak start level. These dynamics imply improving but uneven near-term growth and earnings power.

πŸ’° Margins & Cash Flow

Profitability relief is uneven. Gross-margin proxy (revenues minus costs) fluctuates, with an early-2026 reading around 21.9% (4,758 vs 3,715) but a dip in 2025 Q4 near 5%, reflecting mix/cost pressure. A rising trend into 2025–2026 suggests improving operating leverage, albeit from a weak mid-2024 base. Operating cash flow remained positive in most quarters, notably $957M in 2026 Q1 and $753M in 2025 Q1, while total cash flow was pressured by investing/financing outflows in quarters like 2025 Q2. Cash flow patterns indicate solid core cash generation, offset by episodic outlays.

πŸ›‘οΈ Balance Sheet & Liquidity

AJG carries a sizeable asset base with total assets around $78B (2026 Q1), current assets about $42B and current liabilities near $39.5B, yielding a modest current ratio (~1.06). Long‑term debt sits around $12–13B across recent quarters, with equity around $23–24B. The balance sheet shows solid liquidity and reasonable leverage (debt to equity well below 1), supporting resilience through cyclicality.

⚠️ Key Drivers & Risks

  • Drivers: stable insurance brokerage demand and diversified risk-management services; potential uplift from data-driven analytics.
  • Risks: revenue/earnings cyclicality, sensitivity to pricing and tax mix, and episodic volatility from large capital/dividend outlays could pressure near-term earnings and multiple.