Stocks analysis

AFL vs AJG Stock Comparison

Scores Breakdown

Metric AFL AJG
πŸ“ˆ Growth 6/30 14/30
πŸ’° Profitability 10/20 14/20
🏦 Financial Health 18/20 16/20
πŸ’΅ Valuation 14/20 8/20
⚠️ Risk (lower is better) 6/10 5/10
Overall Score 52/100 57/100

Side-by-Side Summaries

AFL Analysis AJG Analysis

πŸ“ˆ Growth & Financial Trajectory

The eight quarterly results show a mixed growth path. Start: revenues of $5.138B in 2024 Q2 and end: $4.346B in 2026 Q1, a decline of about 15%. Net income moved from $1.755B in 2024 Q2 to $1.019B in 2026 Q1, down roughly 42%. Notable quarter-to-quarter swings include a robust Q4 2024 and steady early-2025 quarters, but the overall trend is inconsistent, with revenue occasionally bouncing on seasonal/one-offs while earnings remain volatile. Operating income remained strong in several periods (around $3.0–$3.4B on mid-single to low-double-digit revenue), suggesting earnings power when volume picks up, but not a clear, sustained growth trajectory.

πŸ’° Margins & Cash Flow

Margins vary meaningfully by quarter; reported operating income margins range widely, reflecting unusual items and mix. Net cash from operating activities was solid in several quarters (e.g., $589M in 2025 Q1 and $968M in 2026 Q1) but softer in others (e.g., $315M in 2025 Q4). Investing and financing activities can create negative free cash flow in some periods, yielding an uneven cash flow signal despite positive operating cash in many quarters.

πŸ›‘οΈ Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Assets typically sit around $116–$122B, with Liabilities in the $86–$93B range and Equity near $26–$30B, indicating reasonable leverage and strong liquidity. The structure supports resilience across varying earnings seasons, though reported items occasionally show anomalies in current liabilities.

⚠️ Key Drivers & Risks

  • Drivers: Interest-rate environment; demand for life/health insurance and annuities.
  • Risks: Earnings volatility from taxes and one-offs; potential margin compression and inconsistent free cash flow.

πŸ“ˆ Growth & Financial Trajectory

From 2024 Q2 to 2026 Q1 AJG exhibits a roller-coaster 8-quarter path. Revenue rose to a peak of $4.758B in 2026 Q1 but ended the window at $2.8068B in 2024 Q2, a decline of about 41% over the span. Net income followed a similar volatile pattern, moving from $823M in 2026 Q1 to $285.4M in 2024 Q2, with a notable trough in 2025 Q4 ($210.5M). The sequence includes a mid-window high around 2025 Q1 ($704.4M) before subsiding. Overall, the backdrop shows upside momentum into early 2026 after mid-2024 troughs, but the end-state remains materially below the peak start level. These dynamics imply improving but uneven near-term growth and earnings power.

πŸ’° Margins & Cash Flow

Profitability relief is uneven. Gross-margin proxy (revenues minus costs) fluctuates, with an early-2026 reading around 21.9% (4,758 vs 3,715) but a dip in 2025 Q4 near 5%, reflecting mix/cost pressure. A rising trend into 2025–2026 suggests improving operating leverage, albeit from a weak mid-2024 base. Operating cash flow remained positive in most quarters, notably $957M in 2026 Q1 and $753M in 2025 Q1, while total cash flow was pressured by investing/financing outflows in quarters like 2025 Q2. Cash flow patterns indicate solid core cash generation, offset by episodic outlays.

πŸ›‘οΈ Balance Sheet & Liquidity

AJG carries a sizeable asset base with total assets around $78B (2026 Q1), current assets about $42B and current liabilities near $39.5B, yielding a modest current ratio (~1.06). Long‑term debt sits around $12–13B across recent quarters, with equity around $23–24B. The balance sheet shows solid liquidity and reasonable leverage (debt to equity well below 1), supporting resilience through cyclicality.

⚠️ Key Drivers & Risks

  • Drivers: stable insurance brokerage demand and diversified risk-management services; potential uplift from data-driven analytics.
  • Risks: revenue/earnings cyclicality, sensitivity to pricing and tax mix, and episodic volatility from large capital/dividend outlays could pressure near-term earnings and multiple.