Analysis for KDP
- š Growth ā 18/30
- š° Profitability ā 12/20
- š¦ Financial Health ā 14/20
- šµ Valuation ā 9/20
- ā ļø Risk ā 7/10
Summary:
š Growth & Financial Trajectory
Over eight quarters, Revenues progressed from roughly $3.92B (2024 Q2) to ~$7.31B (2026 Q2), signaling strong top-line expansion. Yet Net Income declined from about $515M to ~$210M in the same span, indicating earnings volatility and margin pressure despite revenue gains. A notable exception is 2025 Q3, where Net Income spiked to ~$662M, suggesting episodic profitability. Overall, eight-quarter trend shows top-line acceleration with uneven profitability, implying margin compression risk if mix or input costs worsen.
š° Margins & Cash Flow
Gross margins have historically been in the mid- to high-50s%, but the 2026 Q2 reading fell to about 42%, pointing to margin deterioration. Operating margins mirrored this volatility, with several quarters well above 20% but 2026 Q2 closer to single digits. Net cash provided by operating activities was positive in most quarters (e.g., 2026 Q2 ~$0.9B), while investing activities were frequently large and negative (notably 2026 Q2), signaling heavy capital deployment. Free cash flow remains volatile.
š”ļø Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Total assets run into the mid-to-high tens of billions with equity around the low-to-mid $20sā$30B and liabilities dominated by current and noncurrent liabilities. The latest quarter shows a challenging liquidity picture: Current Assets ~$9.46B vs Current Liabilities ~$19.74B, yielding a Current Ratio ~0.48. Leverage is moderate (Liabilities ~$53.97B vs Equity ~$29.23B), supporting a stable but tested balance sheet.
ā ļø Key Drivers & Risks
- Drivers: beverage demand/mix, price realization, promotional efficiency
- Risks: margin compression from input costs and macro volatility, liquidity if operating cash flow slows