Analysis for NOC
- 📈 Growth — 15/30
- 💰 Profitability — 16/20
- 🏦 Financial Health — 16/20
- 💵 Valuation — 12/20
- ⚠️ Risk — 4/10
Summary:
📈 Growth & Financial Trajectory
Seven quarters from 2024 Q3 to 2026 Q1 show Revenues roughly flat around $9.97B to $11.72B, peaking in 2025 Q4 and then easing to $9.88B in 2026 Q1. Net Income swung from about $1.03B in 2024 Q3 to a high of about $1.26B in 2024 Q4, dipping to $0.48B in 2025 Q1, then recovering to roughly $1.10B late 2025 and $0.88B in 2026 Q1.
💰 Margins & Cash Flow
Operating margins hovered near 10–12% across quarters, with Q1 2025 at 6% and improvements in subsequent quarters. Net cash flow from operating activities was positive in most quarters, with strong cash generation in 2024 Q4 ($2.58B) and 2025 Q2–Q3 ($1.56B and $0.87B), while 2025 Q1 was negative (-$1.57B). Free cash flow patterns suggest solid cash generation in several periods, but uneven quarterly swings.
🛡️ Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Total assets run around $49–50B; liabilities near $33B and equity around $15–17B, yielding a modest net debt position. Current assets exceed or roughly match current liabilities (current ratio ~1.0–1.1). Notable leverage appears in long-term debt in the mid-teens of billions, posing moderate debt service considerations.
⚠️ Key Drivers & Risks
- Drivers: defense budget/investment cycles; large program backlogs and multi-year programs
- Risks: quarterly earnings volatility; cyclicality in government spending and potential program cost overruns