Analysis for TJX
- 📈 Growth — 19/30
- 💰 Profitability — 17/20
- 🏦 Financial Health — 17/20
- 💵 Valuation — 12/20
- ⚠️ Risk — 4/10
Summary:
📈 Growth & Financial Trajectory
Across the 8-quarter window from 2025 Q1 through 2027 Q2, TJX’s Revenues rose from about $13.11B to $15.18B, a modest gain (~16%). Net income grew from roughly $1.04B to $1.52B, up ~47%. The trajectory shows overall growth with a mid-period spike (near $17.7B revenue in 2026 Q4) followed by a reversion toward the mid‑$15B range. This yields a positive but moderate growth slope over the period.
💰 Margins & Cash Flow
Gross margins trended in the roughly 25–34% range across quarters, with several quarters in the low-30s and occasional compression during periods of higher input costs/promotions. Operating cash flow remained robust and positive, generally in the $1.1B–$3.15B range, indicating solid cash generation relative to earnings. Investing cash flow was consistently negative (capital deployment), while financing cash flow fluctuated, but overall liquidity remained healthy.
🛡️ Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Assets consistently sit around $32–37B, with Current Assets ~$12–15B and Current Liabilities ~$11–13B, giving a cautious but adequate current ratio (~1.1–1.2). Equity sits in the mid‑single to low‑teens billions with noncurrent liabilities in a similar band, reflecting manageable leverage for a large retailer. Overall, the balance sheet shows resilience, with positive equity and steady asset support.
⚠️ Key Drivers & Risks
- Drivers: resilient off‑price retail model, broad store footprint and stable consumer demand; omni‑channel strength supports traffic.
- Risks: consumer spending sensitivity to macro conditions; promo/gross margin pressure and potential valuation sensitivity to quarterly volatility.