Analysis for VST
- 📈 Growth — 9/30
- 💰 Profitability — 15/20
- 🏦 Financial Health — 13/20
- 💵 Valuation — 11/20
- ⚠️ Risk — 7/10
Summary:
📈 Growth & Financial Trajectory
Over the 8 quarters, Revenues moved from about $6.29B (2024 Q3) to about $4.02B (2026 Q2), a net decline; however, quarterly results showed rebound peaks in 2025 Q4 and 2026 Q1 with Net Income Attributable To Parent around $1.03B. Net Cash Flow From Operating Activities stayed strong, ranging roughly from $0.60B to $1.47B per quarter, supporting financing and investments despite revenue volatility.
💰 Margins & Cash Flow
The business produced positive operating cash flow in most quarters. Using a rough gross-margin proxy (revenues minus costs and expenses), margins hovered in the low-to-mid teens across quarters, with operating income contributing more in some periods (e.g., 2025 Q3–2025 Q4). Net Cash Flow From Operating Activities ranged from $0.60B in 2025 Q1 to $1.47B in several quarters, reflecting solid cash generation before financing and investing activity.
🛡️ Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Total assets run around $37–$42B, with long-term debt around $17.7–$19.6B and current liabilities around $7.7–$10.0B. Equity sits near $5.0–$5.6B, suggesting moderate leverage. The liquidity profile remains adequate as current assets broadly cover near-term liabilities.
⚠️ Key Drivers & Risks
- Drivers: Regulated utility economics and wholesale demand; commodity price environment.
- Risks: Earnings volatility from energy markets and regulatory changes; elevated leverage and cash-flow sensitivity to capex and debt refinancing.